About My Blog

My blog is about history, popular culture, politics and current events from a democratic socialist and Irish republican perspective. The two main topics are Northern Ireland on one hand and fighting anti-Semitism, racism and homophobia on the other. The third topic is supporting the Palestinians, and there are several minor topics. The three main topics overlap quite a bit. I have to admit that it’s not going to help me get a graduate degree, especially because it’s almost always written very casually. But there are some high-quality essays, some posts that come close to being high-quality essays, political reviews of Sci-Fi TV episodes (Star Trek and Babylon 5), and a unique kind of political, progressive poetry you won't find anywhere else. (there are also reviews of episodes of Law and Order: Special Victims Unit and reviews of Roseanne)



(The "Table of Contents" offers brief descriptions of all but the most recent posts)


Showing posts with label republicanism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label republicanism. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 19, 2020

The General Election in Ireland, the Working-Class, and the Palestinians

I am a little late doing this, but here are links to two articles about the recent election in the South of Ireland (the Republic).

1. An article about how Sinn Fein is a working-class party. About 15 years ago in another election there about 1/3 of SF candidates had some connection to the trade-union movement.

2. A post by Juan Cole about how Ireland is overwhelmingly in support of the Palestinians and a Sinn Fein government might turn that into policy.

Because of some things in the first article and the fact that in the PAST Cole has attacked the IRA, I want to link to a post on my blog where I explain that the IRA were not terrorists.

Also, it looks certain that there will be another election there, the numbers just don't add up to a 80 without so many different parties and independents that I doubt it will be a stable government. And, since SF didn't run many candidates, if there is another election, they might get a large plurality- hopefully seats taken from FF and not the left, but in any case it might make it more likely SF can form a government.

Also, SF is very much against anti-semitism, although it's a bit complicated. There's some stuff about that here, here, and something a little more critical here. UPDATE Another critical piece is here.



Something I wrote elsewhere:

In a recent post on his blog Juan Cole talks about SF and the Palestinians and says that unlike Germany with it's Nazi history, Ireland will be able to support the Palestinians without that kind of baggage. But That is not entirely true since Ireland was neutral and the IRA accepted aid from Nazi Germany. Unless SF has admitted recently that the IRA was wrong to do that, they are vulnerable to attacks. I go into more detail about that here. But multiple things indicate that SF IS VERY much against anti-Semitism (although it's not all favorable and some of it is ancient history much of this post is about SF and anti-semitism) and I wanted to make that even clearer to people who will criticize them over supporting the Palestinians. (I just did a google search for news about SF's current stance on the IRA and Nazi Germany, and subscribed to the Irish Times and searched that site and found nothing about SF changing it's stance on this (I found something from 2004 indicating that SF was still defending what the IRA did (using Google Advanced Search, I searched SF's web-site and found nothing, although several possibly relevant documents seemed to have been moved or removed (they probably can't archive everything (I also used the search function on SF's web-site and didn't find anything)))))

**********

UPDATE 2/22/20 First, there is an article here you read. Between this, and the WWII stuff, if Juan Cole is right, SF will be destroyed by Trump and AIPAC and much of the Left in America will look the other way because of the IRA/Nazi Germany thing.  A moderate Dem will be more merciful, but even a progressive supporter of the Palestinians like  Sanders will be pressured to criticize  SF. And AIPAC can use Congress to hurt SF. SF really needs to say that the IRA was wrong. As I said in a recent email to the TD mentioned in that article (I am typing a post about her tweets), what if the Israeli government in the 1970s offered the Provisional IRA money? Also SF needs to understand how much Americans like what we did in WWII.

 

Friday, July 18, 2014

Sinn Fein, Irish-Americans, and People of Color in America

Below is a letter I would have submitted to AP/RN (SF's old paper) in the past, but AP (their new one) doesn’t publish letters so I’m doing it here and also on a politics discussion board here (UPDATE 10/17/23 That discussion forum seems to be dead). It is addressed to SF but I would love to see everyone else also take part in the discussion. The web-site for Friends of SF in the US is here. A few very relevant posts are here. And one more where I talk about the bigger picture of SF and America is here.



Although I infrequently express some criticism of SF, I am mostly a supporter and since 1997 I have occasionally had a small to moderate degree of success supporting SF and/or the nationalist community in general. For example in 1999 I was fairly involved with bringing Rita O’Hare to speak on the CU-Boulder campus.

I have a suggestion about your work in America. On one hand, I am partly motivated to support republicanism because I’m Irish-American. However I know or know of a LOT of Americans who aren’t Irish and have done a fair amount or a lot to support SF and/or the nationalist community in general (for example, Bill Fletcher Jr. who has held senior positions in the labor movement and is the immediate past president of TransAfrica Forum; or, the well-known professor, Angela Davis). With that in mind, I was disappointed to see that on the “About Us” page of the Friends of SF USA site, you refer only to Irish-America and the links page only links to SF or Irish-American groups. Because of this and some other similar things about your allies here in America I’m concerned it will deter at least some, probably most and maybe all, interested people of color from getting involved in one way or another (i.e. joining Irish Northern Aid) or even from just educating themselves about the conflict and the Peace Process. This focus I believe unintentionally denies the contributions made by people of color in the past and present and implies that in the present and future Irish-American contributions are more important than those of people of color.

I do know that in Ireland SF is INCREDIBLY anti-racist and that you and your American supporters have occasionally done things to reach out to people of color here, but on that you need to do more, or at least use more inclusive language.

Besides being the right thing to do, it will help in some other important ways:
1) With a good response from people of color, this may have an impact on racism among Irish-Americans. It might also work like that with nationalists and republicans in Ireland.
2) Greater diversity in, for example, INA will also probably attract more white allies, further affecting Irish-American racism.
3) There will be more supporters of SF and/or the nationalist community in general.

Although I believe that I’ve covered a fair amount of this subject, I’d be interested in discussing these issues further.

Sincerely,

Tom Shelley
Boulder, Colorado USA

P.S. I have a true story about this. In the late 1990s I was circulating a petition addressed to the US Government about the former Volunteers facing extradition or deportation. I took it one day to an anti-prisons protest and at one point went up to two men, one white, one black. I told them what the petition was about and the white guy said “I’m Irish-American, but I don’t support the IRA” and declined to sign it. The black guy said “I’ll sign it.”

Thursday, September 1, 2011

The anti-Apartheid Struggle and Republicans

I have mentioned Apartheid S. Africa several times on my blog in some connection to the Republican Movement. I've been aware of four connections between the two groups in recent decades, and a couple more connections between the two have just surfaced, which I’ll get to soon (I'm not sure they are as confirmed as I would like them, but the source for the new info seems like a good source).

First, here are the four connections I’ve been aware of for some number of years

1) A plaque remembering the sacrifice of both anti-Apartheid and Irish Republican Prisoners of war, is on Robben Island, which is kind of a monument to the anti-Apartheid struggle. That info was found here.
UPDATE 1/27/17  If that link is dead for some reason, I did a search of http://www.independent.co.uk using google and found a link to the article. It should show up here and is head-lined "Adams pays tribute to detainees' suffering." One quote from the article is:

The ANC changed its mind after Mr Adams's meeting with Mr Mandela who described Sinn Fein as "an old friend and ally''.

2) In 1981, as IRA (and INLA) prisoners went on hunger-strike, there was talk among ANC Prisoners of War of going on a solidarity hunger-strike. That's taken from an on-line only article in The Nation, by Tom Hayden- it was published some time in 2004, or 2005, or 2006. I can't find it online. When I do I'll update this.

3) In 2005 the Minister of Intelligence for South Africa visited Ireland as a guest of Sinn Fein and compared what he did as a member of the ANC's military wing during the anti-Apartheid struggle with what IRA members did during the Troubles. He spoke at republiccan events and at one point, according to the Irish Times said: "I could never accept that Sinn Féin has debased republicanism. They carried the flag of republicanism in the most difficult of times. ... The Irish struggle is a particularly heroic one." You can read at least a little of an Irish Times article about this here. If all you read there is the brief free paragraph, reading this from a Sinn Fein publication will make it clear what the Minister meant with his comments in that brief intro of the Irish Times article. I now have the text of the article and can email it to you if you want

4) In 1992 Nelson Mandela was on a British political talk-show and said that he supported the IRA. That information is found here (it's towards the bottom, says "mandela. and. ira").


There are some more pieces of information about this relationship. Those are found here, here, and here.

UPDATE 4/25/15 Another one here.

Tom

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Anti-Sectarian

Immediately below is a poem I’ve “written.” For more information on my poetry, see this. It’s about anti-sectarianism in the North of Ireland, against both the anti-Catholic kind of bigotry and the anti-Protestant kind of bigotry. Below IT are some notes on that subject.

For the rest of the poems click on the "lyrics" label at the bottom (there are at least four pages worth of posts, so click on the "older posts" at the bottom of the first page).

“Catholic, Protestant, and Dissenter” based on “Tearing Down the Red Flags” (or something like that) by Razor’s Edge. Original lyrics are here.

1. At first I thought of doing a small alteration of this- making it about the Union Jack and unionism and/or British imperialism. But then I decided to go a bit further and in a slightly different direction, and make it about sectarianism in the North.
2. The Union Jack is the British flag.
3. There are six counties in N. Ireland and Orange is the color of anti-Catholic bigotry in the Irish-British context.
4. Fermanagh is in the south-west of N. Ireland, Belfast is in the east and mid-way between north and south of N. Ireland (so, it's not perfect, but I think it works pretty well).
5. For info about Orangemen marching through Catholic areas and why that’s wrong, see this.
6. The BA is the British Army.
7. This is set somewhere around 2000. From what I remember, it was around then that Sinn Fein (I'm not sure if that means this is about SF, and is that appropriate???) stepped up their effort to reach out to Protestant Unionists, and the BA were usually still involved with forcing Orange marches through Catholic areas. (SF is very anti-sectarian with both kinds of sectarianism)
9. The red, white and black are the colors of the Nazi flag. Once again, what the Union Jack stands for in the Irish-British relationship isn’t as bad as what the Nazi flag stands for, but there are many points in Irish history when it was close.
10. As far as republican sectarianism towards Protestants, see the second half of this post, beginning with the paragraph "a lot of people..."
11. As far as “republican revolution” this is the second poem which requires me to explain why I believe that Sinn Fein (and most of the rest of the republican family) can be called revolutionaries. I’ll do that soon, for now just take my word for it : ).
12. I give this poem five stars out of five.
13. **57% of this version is me, 43% is the original.
14. As far as the second line of the first verse, I believe that the Orange nature of the statelet was slowly, more or less decreasing, although it has certainly been a slow process and there is still a lot of room for improvement. As far as the end of the statelet itself, even today I’m not sure if we can see the light at the end of the tunnel.
15. The last line is about tearing down the structures of Orangeism, unionism and British imperialism (reforming the police, more movement towards a United Ireland, a ban on Orange marches through Catholic areas without the consent of the residents, starting an international and independent process of looking at the past that will make it clear to everyone what the nationalist and Catholic communities went through during the Troubles, and the decades before that, etc.).
16. Definitely about non-violence with the possible exception of sort of violent rioting in response to OO marches forced through Catholic areas.
17. UPDATE 5/4/11 I just realized there is a small conflict between the 3rd line of 2nd verse and the 3rd line of the last verse. I might change that soon.
18. UPDATE 5/3/12 I put Orange in the 2nd line of the 2nd verse; it used to say Northern. As I mentioned in another post, I don’t think the Orange Order is 100% as bad as the KKK, but even today they’re close and in the recent past, they were definitely close.
19. Razor's Edge were British and supported the British and Unionist causes.


You fly your Union Jacks and your symbols full of hate
Don't you see the end of your six-county Orange state?
We're tearing down sectarian divisions from Fermanagh to Belfast
and in their place we create solidarity of the working-class

Chorus:
We're tearing down sectarianism - we'll banish the North’s shame!
We're tearing down sectarianism - we’ll all oppose the British claim
We're tearing down sectarianism - we're never giving in!
We're tearing down sectarianism - and we're gonna fucking win!

Orangemen still marching on our streets, supported by the BA
Don't they fucking realise, we won’t surrender to the Orange KKK
They're just a bunch of wankers, with nothing new to say.
Well here's some headlines for ya- “republican revolution’s on its way.”

Chorus

You display your orange bunting and your union jacks
In the North it’s almost as bad as flying the red, white and black
We're tearing down sectarian divisions and we'll talk with you as well.
So you can join us in tearing down this Orange capitalist hell

Chorus

******

If you look at figures for unemployment and income, and sectarian murders, homes attacked, and Orange marches through Catholic areas, in recent decades (and certainly before that) it’s clear that Catholics have been targets of the overwhelmingly vast bulk of sectarianism in the North.

And here are some things I want to mention about sectarianism going the other way, and about sectarian DIVISIONS. Some of the stuff below I wrote partly as a pre-emptive response to people who might say that as a republican I can't be against anti-Protestant bigotry. (my attitude about sectarianism is completely compatible with republicanism, or at least the republicanism of the overwhelmingly vast majority of republicans- SF is VERY good at trying to break-down divisions and have dialogue with Protestant unionists)

1) The Speedwell Trust is a great organization in the North. They bring Catholic and Protestant kids together through environmental education and community relations programs. It’s doing very important work. In late 2002 I read an article in the Irish News about how they needed funding from the government immediately or they might have to close down. At the time the group I organized on the CU-Boulder campus, Students for Justice in N. Ireland, was active, and we tried to help Speedwell by contacting the N. Ireland Office and getting others (largely via environmentalist groups on campus) to do the same.

The Speedwell Trust’s web-site is here.

2) In 2002 I made two trips to Ireland. The second one was during the marching season (when anti-Catholic organizations have marches , including some in Catholic areas with the police and/or Army forcing the march through (For info about Orangemen marching through Catholic areas and why that’s wrong, see this)). Often the ones through Catholic areas result in riots. I was at two such protests and (at both) at one point a small number of the kids rioting threw some rocks over the Peace Line fence into a Protestant area. Several people, (including myself, the second time this happened), yelled at them to stop. Although I was fine with them throwing stuff at the police and Army, throwing rocks into Protestant areas is very unhelpful and just increases tension and hate and I'm pretty sure is almost never a good idea (the one possible exception in recent years I can think of is when an isolated nationalist enclave in east Belfast was under siege for weeks in 2002).

About a week before that, I went to Ardoyne in north Belfast. I had been there 1-2 days earlier and the local nationalist kids surrounded me with questions- I was pretty popular. So the next time I was there a couple of boys, probably 10-12 years old, talked with me when I was waiting for a bus back to the city center. The street we were on was one of the main roads in north Belfast and was one of the boundaries for the nationalist Ardoyne area. At one point a taxi drives by and one of the boys says he wished he had a rock to throw at it. It was a taxi from a business with links to a loyalist paramilitary. I could understand wanting to throw a rock at such a taxi, but realized that there would very likely be passengers who did not deserve to be attacked like that. I explained that to the boys and they sort of understood.

3) The Pat Finucane Centre for Human Rights and Truth Recovery is a very important organization in N. Ireland. For some number of years they organized what you might call "official" events around the annual commemoration of Bloody Sunday (as far as I can tell there was little or no competition with other political forces hostile to the PFC). Another thing they do is facilitate dialogue between the two communities (I’m sure overwhelmingly at the working-class level) in different ways. They’re generally very progressive. Although it ended up being only slightly successful, I worked with some others to organize a benefit show for the PFC, I think we got them about $50 (the two groups that organized it together were Students for Justice in N. Ireland (my group) and the Rocky Mountain Peace and Justice Center).

Their web-site is here.

4) There is, of course the issue of integrated education. For most of my thoughts on that, see this review of Star Trek episodes, when I discuss the episode “In the Hands of the Prophets” (the relevant part is about half-way down from the top of that episode review).

5) About two and a half years ago I found a fan-made music video on YouTube for the song “There Were Roses (Cara Dillon version)” There’s two crucial facts about the lyrics that I couldn’t find, and in general I don’t agree with all of it. But there’s one thing it’s about that I like- celebrating friendships that cross the sectarian divide (there are some other elements I like, such as the description of Catholic fear about loyalist retaliation).

The missing facts are, who killed the Protestant, and why (I found something saying that it’s based on a true story but I couldn’t find their names in a data-base of all the people killed during the conflict). Also I’m not crazy about the last verse. But the anti-sectarianism of most of the lyrics is great. The YouTube music video is here. (the fan-made video is not viewable in America, but the song can be heard here).

6) There's some info about Irish Republicans and sectarianism towards Protestant about 2/3 down this post, starting with the paragraph "a lot of people..."

7) Lastly, in case someone thinks there is no anti-Protestant bigotry in the North, I have absolutely no doubt- you could almost say I experienced it myself. On the night July 11th/12th 2002 I was walking in a republican part of west Belfast. Each year that night sees some large degree of tension and fear in nationalist areas that there will be loyalist attacks. That doesn’t justify what happened, but I think it might partly explain it. So, what happened was that I passed a bar as two guys came out of it and they asked me if I was Catholic (I think I stood out like a sore thumb with the haircut I had then). I said yes. But I can only imagine what would have happened if I were a N. Ireland Protestant and had admitted it.

 

 

 

Saturday, October 10, 2009

From Belfast to Bethlehem: Ireland-Palestine Solidarity

The old web-site of my old CU-Boulder group Students for Justice in N. Ireland is on Geo-Cities and will disappear soon. I link from my blog profile indirectly to that site, and there is one last document from that site that I'd like to still have in cyberspace and available, one way or the other, from this blog.

So below is a short article for the newspaper of the CU-Boulder Coalition for Justice in Palestine. It was written late 2002 or early 2003. SJNI included copies of it on our literature table at events or in the student center.

(When I refer to the republican movement and sort of equate that with Sinn Fein, that's significantly off; usually the RM refers to both political AND military parts; SF supports the Palestinians, and the IRA do too I'm sure but that's not really relevant)

(When I say that the IPSC has a presence in the Nationalist Community of the North, that's largely accurate, but I'm sure some small minority of people in the North who support the Palestinains are not members of the Nationalist community)

(When I refer to the "nationalist/republican struggle" I was being a little lazy and should have seperated them, although I'm not sure how much that matters)

UPDATE 3/15/20 A few months after SJNI endorsed the CJP, they invited us to co-sponsor an event. It was cancelled because the speaker was in criminal trouble for allegedly supporting Islamic Jihad. I wouldn't be surprised if he was innocent of breaking the law, but I imagine he must have been a supporter in other ways of Islamic Jihad. Althoug CJP, about a year earlier, had brought Hanan Ashrawi to speak and I would have been thrilled to recommend to SJNI that we co-sponsor THAT event, if the other event hadn't been cancelled, I would have had to reccomend to SJNI that we decline- continue to endorse the CJP, but not co-sponsor that event.  A) I don't support religiously fundamentalist political movements, and B) SJNI would have been destroyed from the inside and outside if we had co-sponsored that event. But the point is, CJP wanted to raise our profile by listing us a co-sponsor.

Here it is.

From Belfast to Bethlehem: Ireland-Palestine Solidarity

In working-class nationalist (Catholic) areas of Northern Ireland one usually sees Irish flags flying from every lamp-post. However, when I walked down the Falls Rd. of west Belfast last February, I saw at least as many Palestinian flags as Irish ones. At first I was a bit surprised, until I remembered reading a couple weeks earlier that the Palestinian Ambassador to Ireland had visited the area at the invitation of the local chapter of the Ireland-Palestine Solidarity Group (http://www.supportpalestine.org).

Since the renewed Intifada in Sept. 2000, Irish people have been greatly moved by the Palestinian struggle and have frequently expressed that support in rallies and demonstrations. There are IPSG chapters throughout Ireland, including among the nationalist community in N. Ireland. The republican movement (Sinn Fein) has been especially supportive. When I attended the National Conference of Sinn Fein Youth, one of their main events included a speech by the Palestinian Ambassador. The display of flags I saw in Belfast I saw in pretty much all nationalist areas I visited. In Derry, the Irish flag flying from the "YOU ARE NOW ENTERING FREE DERRY" monument (a major symbol of the nationalist/republican struggle) has been replaced by a Palestinian one.

(Interestingly, in many loyalist/Protestant areas where British flags are common, Israeli flags have been put up. Whether this is in solidarity with another group of colonial-settlers in a similar situation or just a knee-jerk reaction to republicans I'm not sure)

This solidarity is based on many things. A general concern for human rights and an identification with those nations who have, or are continuing to, experienced imperialism. More specifically, Irish republicans see a lot of similarities between their struggle in N. Ireland and that of the Palestinians.

It is in this spirit that Students for Justice in N. Ireland at the University of Colorado at Boulder has formally endorsed the Coalition for Justice in Palestine.

Monday, August 3, 2009

Six new songs

I have six more songs. They're all "Those Lyrics," for an explanation see this. I might have a new source of non-offensive material for altering, but if not from now on it'll probably be something like 90% "Those Lyrics."
Also, two of these songs are SHARP/RASH songs, you might want to read the introductory portion of the first post I did with that sort of song/poem.

For the rest of the poems click on the "lyrics" label at the bottom (there are at least two pages worth of posts, so click on the "older posts" at the bottom of the first page).

The ones towards the top are okay, the ones towards the bottom are good.

1. We Fly the Starry Plough. Republican Socialists in Ireland.
2. The Hate Froze. The Eastern European part of WWII.
3. When Partition Falls. Partly about a vision for a United Ireland.
4. SHARP Skinheads. Anti-racist skinheads.
5. Slan Abhaile. N. Ireland.

“We fly the Starry Plough” based on “we fly the swastika” by No Remorse. Original lyrics are here.

1. The Starry Plough is the flag of republican socialism.
2. Considering the source of the original, I feel like I have to point out what is probably obvious: as long as it doesn't cross a certain line (and in N. Ireland I imagine it rarely does) Irish pride is very different from White pride. (I just heard something making me think that it's probably a small minority of northern nationalists that would talk about "Irish pride"; I still feel odd completely re-writing that line, so I'm going to keep it)
3. Volunteers are members of republican paramilitaries.
**4. 25% of this version is me, 75% is the original.
5. I give this song/poem three stars out of five.
6. I'm not sure if I should have retained the bit about an era of darkness in my version. But "era of darkness" is basically in the right neighborhood- even today, with the economic situation and the continuation of British rule (albeit less so than before).
7. This poem is not meant as an endorsement of armed struggle since 1997.
8. No Remorse was supportive of the Unionist and British causes in N. Ireland.
9. This is about republican socialists, but only 1-2 lines are about those who use arms.

it’s a symbol of power, it’s a symbol of pride
in the hands of the Irish republican it evokes something deep inside

Chorus
we fly the starry plough, to London we won’t submit
we ain’t never going to take it down for no unionist or Brit

in this era of darkness, it’s a symbol of light
it’ll make a thousand strong Volunteers raise their fists and fight

Chorus

when you see our banners high, rally ‘round and cheer
only the crown forces have something to fear

Chorus

*****
There used to be  a poem here called "Real Skinhead." It might be back soon.

*****

“The Hate Froze” based on “The Snow Fell” by Skrewdriver, original lyrics are here.

1. The original is about, from a pro-Nazi perspective, the Nazi invasion of the Soviet Union which was dealt a fatal blow early on by the Russian Winter.
2. I skipped the first verse, which was about Stalin. I don’t like him, which is why I couldn’t flip it and I wasn’t going to leave it, so I’m ignoring it.
3. As the war went bad for the Nazis, there were more and more plots against Hitler.
4. The red flag in Berlin warms my heart because it represents the defeat of Nazi Germany.
**5. 15% of this version is me, 85% is the original.
6. I give this song/poem three stars out of five.
7. I inspired someone on the Southern Poverty Law Center's blog to alter this song, and he did an even better job than I did. You can see his song in the comments.
UPDATE 11/27/10 8. I just realized that I'm pretty sure almost no one points to the Winter just outside Moscow as the moment when the defeat of the Nazis began. I might change that line.
8. UPDATE 12/24/10 I just added "there" to the 2nd line of the 2nd verse.
9. UPDATE 1/28/11 I am not a fan of the Soviet Union, but considering what they went through during the War, it's appropriate here and there to remember their contribution to the Allied victory.

They took the old roads that Napoleon had taken before.
They fought as a force of hate against the world in a fascist war.
One day they were looking around and the sun was shining on the cold flowers.
The next day they were freezing to death in the sleet and the ice cold showers.

(chorus)
And the snow fell
covering the hate of their ideals.
And the snow fell
freezing the blood and the wheels.
And the snow fell
it was the beginning of their defeat
And the snow fell
soon it would be complete

Then came the deadly roads back from the steppes of their retreat.
The cold racked their bodies but even better, there was the pain of defeat.
Many people who had hailed them once now turned and looked away.
These people now knew that Berlin’s defeat was on it's way.

(chorus)

they were finally pushed back to the borders of their fatherland.
Now assassins came heroes everywhere at hand.
Many Soviets had fought and died knowing that they had to win.
It still warms my heart to see the picture of the red flag in Berlin.

(chorus)

****

“When Partition Falls” based on “When The Hammer Falls” by Bound for Glory, original lyrics are here.


0. Partition is the division of Ireland.
1. The SDLP are the Social Democratic and Labour Party, Sinn Fein’s moderate rival in the nationalist community. I explain what’s wrong with them here.
2. Chinooks are UK military helicopters and are used here as a symbol of the British military.
3. The crooked cross is the swastika.
4. The red, white and blue are the colors of the British flag.
5. The ending of partition will strengthen various left, progressive, liberal and working-class movements in Ireland. I go into that more in the last 1/5 of this post.
6. There’s not a bad chance that when Ireland is united, a republican organization will be in a government with other parties of the Left.
7. There’s some large minority of republicans who support legalizing marijuana (dope is meant as a reference to marijuana, not drugs in general) (you could say this song is about that minority). (there's also a similar situation regarding abortion)
**7. 71% of this version is me, 29% is the original (a new record).
8. I give this song/poem three stars out of five.
9. Since the original is American, I DID include some anti-hate stuff, see this for why that's important.
10. Initially this poem had some problems because it was kind of about Sinn Fein. I have now corrected that, and it is about a left-wing element of the republican family overall.
11. UPDATE 1/28/11 As far as I can tell, there's probably some small minority of republicans who are VERY Catholic, probably another small minority who are fairly Catholic, and probably a large minority who are atheist. And this poem is about the left-wingers, so it makes even more sense since there's probably not many republicans who are both very Catholic and left-wing.
12. UPDATE 1/28/11 Obviously republicans have been marching on the street for a long time, but more mass struggle will probably-definitely be part of republicans uniting Ireland and/or forming a republican-left government.
13 UPDATE 5/9/20 I deleted the last two "the" in the last line of the first verse.

SDLP fools and Unionist tools
We all live by London’s rules
Take a better look, up at the Chinooks
how many lives have they took?
Those of the crooked cross, in 1945 they lost
We’ll defeat them at any cost
we’re turning the screws, and we do refuse
to submit to the red, white and blue

Chorus:
From the visions that we saw, there will come new laws
When partition falls
With the power of pride, she’ll take a bride
When partition falls
for the women of Ireland, abortion on demand
When partition falls
For the working-class, justice at last
When partition falls

The future looks bleak, for those who think we are weak
the truth we will always speak
We have hope but no not from the Pope
We do support legalizing dope
we won’t Surrender, retreat, or cower in defeat
What will you do when we march on the streets?
We are what’s coming, our victory will be stunning
in a left coalition, the government we’ll be running

******

“SHARP Skinheads” based on “OC Skinhead” by Final War original lyrics are here.

1. Lincoln Brigade refers to the Abraham Lincoln Brigade, the group of American volunteers who fought fascism in Spain’s Civil War.
2. SHARP is SkinHeads Against Racial Prejudice.
**3. 39% of this version is me, 61% is the original.
4. I give this song/poem four stars out of five.
5. The class I refer to is the working-class.
6. 10/31/10 I just replaced the word "march" with the word "live" in the 5th line of the first verse.

We were born for anti-fash crusades
to follow the steps of the Lincoln brigade
born to fight and born to win,
we are all anti-racist Skins
we are the ones who live on the streets
our voices loud and never discreet
it's our battle in a people’s war
we are stronger than before

SHARP....Skinheads

Steel capped boots, fisted hands
an anti-racist scene and anti-racist bands
carry our banners hold ‘em above,
we'll fight for the class that we all love
drink some beer and hit the town,
find some Nazis and beat them down
comrades united across the states
we fight together against the hate

SHARP...Skinheads

yeah, We were born for anti-fash crusades
we all remember the Lincoln brigade
we've said it before let the battle begin
victory is ours you know we'll win
Fists and boots and our brains
we’ll defeat those who want fascist reign
shaven heads and opposition to hate
nazis better fuck off before it's too late

SHARP ...Skinheads

****

“Slan Abhaile” based on “When the Boat comes in” by Skrewdriver, original lyrics are here.

1. The title is an Irish farewell to someone traveling home. There’s a republican mural that shows a British army soldier walking away towards (I think) the sunset (there's a sign saying that England is that way), with those words at the top. It’s sort of a friendlier spin on the slogan “Brits out.” My version of this song is a bit less friendly, but I like that republican mural and wanted to use that phrase.
2. Historically there’s been a left-wing analysis that British business operating in Ireland benefit from the way that partition (and in the North the sectarianism that goes with partition) weakens organized labor and the left.
3. This is set in the 1980s and 1990s when the republican strategy of the “Ballot and the armalite (rifle)” was being used.
4. Squaddie is a term for British Army soldier.
5. Special Branch is a part of the police in Britain and Ireland, sort of comparable to the FBI. The SB of the N. Ireland police during the conflict was involved in collusion with loyalist paramilitaries. I explain that more around 2/5 the way through this post.
6. The Red Hand is a loyalist symbol.
**7. 56% of this version is me and 44% is the original.
8. I give this song/poem three stars out of five.
9. Skrewdriver was supportive of the Unionist and British causes in N. Ireland.
10. Except for the last five lines, this could include nationalists and of course unarmed republicans, but those last 5 lines are about the IRA.

we won’t take shit, from the Brits, cause Ireland does rule
We will fight the tories, 'cos tories are all fools
Try to run our nation, and give it to fat cats
We won't take it anymore, we're taking our nation back

(Chorus)
Squaddie, Squaddie, get on that boat
Squaddie, Squaddie, row
Squaddie, Squaddie, get out of here
Squaddie, Squaddie, go, go, go...

They patrol the Irish streets, they're dividing our Irish land
And the bigots in Special Branch give aid to the Red Hand
Give them guns, give them info, ignore our human rights
We won't stand and watch our people be slaughtered without a fight

Chorus

We've got to love this land of ours, and fight to make it free
One day we’ll win just like our comrades in the ANC
And if we have to we will fight all the way to the end
between the ballot and the armalite we’ll make them comprehand

One last note: Even with the songs that are only about 10% me (and at the upper end, one is 75% me), I have a request, although I don't have strong feelings or expectations about this. First, I want credit for these songs. Second, I'd appreciate it if the notes follow the lyrics around the internet. If you modify the lyrics further, please either make some notes for the changes if you leave some of my changes, or just provide a link to this URL so people can see my version. Although I'm not sure how many people will like what I'm doing with the lyrics, to one degree or another (depending on how much I changed them) I'm proud of these songs- and at the risk of getting a little personal, if people like the songs, I could really use the extra boost of getting credit for them right now (or if you don't like them, they were all written by Sarah Palin- that fascist, what kind of sick person enjoys altering racist lyrics?).

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

In The Spirit of Malcolm X

"I believe that there will ultimately be a clash between the oppressed and those that do the oppressing. I believe that there will be a clash between those who want freedom, justice and equality for everyone and those who want to continue the systems of exploitation... It is incorrect to classify the revolt of the Negro as simply a racial conflict of Black against white, or as a purely American problem. Rather we are today seeing a global rebellion of the oppressed against the oppressor, the exploited against the exploiter."
(Malcolm X Speaks, pp. 232-233) January, 1965.

(when typing this, for various reasons I often said "to-the-right-of-center." I might change that, but earlier I got in the habit of, when thinking about this topic, thinking of it pretty much that way)

(I forgot to mention this, but I should say I'm fairly familiar with this subject 1997-2005; 2006 to 2009 I was slightly familiar with this subject; Before and since I wrote this I have found some additional things which confirm my thoughts about this subject; If I have somehow missed some stuff and SF and their American allies are doing more or less what I suggest in this post, then this is meant to encourage them to continue with that)

I've complained on this blog before about Sinn Fein's approach to America. They focus too much on Irish-America and partly leave behind their left-wing beliefs when they travel from Ireland to America. I imagine this is because A) the focus on Irish-Americans comes somewhat naturally and B) they don't want to scare off people with money and/or power. The first part is not even that offensive, but is, as I'll explain, very stupid. The second part, depending on what issue SF is compromising on, is either very offensive or slightly offensive. The former would be cases involving bigotry, the latter, getting too chummy with corporate America and to-the-right-of-center politicians.

First, SF is a party whose political center is center-left. Based on large amounts of research (I was reading about 100 articles a week on average from Irish news sources 1997-2005), I would say that four years ago SF membership looked something like the figures below. I have enough information about the last four years to more or less confirm my belief that it's very unlikely SF has shifted more than a tiny bit, if at all, in the wrong direction. These figures would be pretty much the same, unless noted otherwise, the last 30-40 years. You can find more details at the posts I link to, below.

*SF is pretty consistentent in standing up for economic justice. Probably somewhere around 50% of SF are socialist, and the rest are probably mostly progressive and a small minority are conservative. (Since some will say that yes, SF is socialist, NATIONAL socialist, you should read "The Brown and the Green"). They have frequently raised issues of health-care, unions, etc. In the 2002 General Election in the Republic, about 1/3-2/3 of their candidates were either, members, staff or leaders of trade-unions. In the European Parliament SF is a member of the European Parliamentary Group “European United Left/Nordic Green Left.” In elections to the South’s Senate in 2007, SF and Labour had a voting pact.

*SF is pretty consistent in standing up against racism. (see "Anti-Racism and Republicans")

*SF is pretty consistent in standing up against homophobia. (see the post "Invisible Comrades") (30 years ago it was nowhere near as good as this)

As far as the kind of anti-semtism that generally are associated with the Right, SF is very consistent in standing up against it. There is a problem with probably some small majority having the wrong attitude about the IRA and the Nazis ("Fuck Fascism Before It Fucks You"). Probably some small minority support the Palestinians with the wrong attitude towards Jews (SF overwhelmingly supports the Palestinians, so this a small minority of such people). You might want to read "The Spirit Of Robert Briscoe".

*Overall SF is very feminist. As far as I can tell, looking over the last 12 years back to the 1998 Assembly elections and giving weight to the more senior positions and offices, some very large minority of SF officers and elected politicians are women, and probably no more than a very large minority of the membership is female. (UPDATE 10/18/11 two years later and I'm looking at the results of the 2011 General Election in the South, and I have to report that out of 14 MPs (in the Dail, in Dublin) only two are women, which negatively affects what I wrote about woman among the officials and elected representatives)

Probably the best way to defend the statement that they're feminists is to describe their record on abortion and explain that there's got to be some large minority of SF members who are pro-life but besides that, feminist. I mention this because it would help attract American feminists who might otherwise have no desire to help SF and/or won't listen to what SF has to say.

The following is evidence that there is probably a large minority that is pro-choice.

1) In 1985, although it was apparently a very unrepresentative vote, it did, for one year, adopt a pro-choice position.
2) The paper I was responding to in the post "The Brown and the Green" refers to SF supporting a DUP motion in the Assembly in 2000, which opposed the extension of the Abortion Act to N. Ireland (abortion is something like 95% illegal there). What the paper ignored is that a member of the Women's Coalition proposed an amendment that would have radically changed the resolution so that it simply referred the issue to the Health-Care Committee for further research, discussion, and debate. SF members spoke (starts half-way through, you'll want to look at this to see who's who) and voted in favor of this, and when they spoke, they made it clear their party is not fully committed to the pro-life position.
3) In 2004 (possibly 2003, but I'm pretty sure 2004) SF Youth came within one vote of adopting a pro-choice position.
4) SF's current abortion position is that they believe in choice when the life or health of the mother is at risk, in cases of rape or incest (in the 2002 Abortion referendum in the South, SF also supported choice when the woman is suicidal). They also feel very strongly about not criminalizing women who have abortions. UPDATE 3/8/15 they now also support allowing terminations in cases of fatal foetal abnormality.
5) UPDATE 10/20/11) 5) They support “comprehensive sex education, full access to child-care and comprehensive support services, including financial support for single parents.”
UPDATE 6/9/13 6) SF also blocked a pro-life measure in the N. Ireland Assembly in March 2013. See this.
UPDATE 8/23/13  7) In July 2013 Sinn Fein's significant parliamentary party in the Republic voted in favor of a law that would legalize abortion in more situations than had been the case (the law was passed) (I believe SF had 14 TDs, one voted against and was suspended and is no longer an SF TD). See this. (UPDATE 2/9/14 the 14th SF TD is no longer suspended)

Those are the most relevant issues, although I should say that on issues outside the U.S. and Ireland, SF is generally very good (for example, on the Palestinians).

But when SF comes to America and their allies do work in America, they play down these left-wing/progressive/liberal politics. They also focus almost exclusively on Irish-America. There's almost no talk about people concerned about social justice, human rights, or anti-imperialism in a broader way than just looking at N. Ireland. So they are not reaching out to people who would be motivated to work on that issue out of a concern for social justice- that is, it's not explained to people that, adjusting for the fact that Catholics/Nationalists went through a nightmare 1968-2007 (well, it was less bad towards the end) (about 1/4 of the evidence for that statement is that about 825+ Catholic civilians were killed by either the security forces or the loyalist paramilitaries when each year of the period the average for the Catholic population would have been about 600,000) and adjusting for geographic proximity, that if they're concerned about racism and homophobia and religious bigotry in America, they should be concerned about sectarianism in the North. And they're also not appealing to people who are concerned about imperialism and would be motivated to work on N. Ireland from that perspective. Although this is less of an issue (this raises the spectre of socialism, and I'm more or less okay with SF keeping that under wraps in America), they also don't say much about the economic and class aspects of the conflict. I've heard that some people become interested in it when the class part of it is explained- how the Nationalist community is overwhelmingly working-class and the republican movement even more so. The fact that the political center of the unionist community is center-right and that of the nationalist community is centre-left is left out of SF's pitch. Crucially, the way that ending partition will strengthen liberal, progressive, left, and working-class movements (as I explain towards the bottom of the post "Catholic, Protestant, and Dissenter") should be explained as it will mobilize the left.

In combination with that, I should explain something about the demographics and politics of America. But first an update on SF's approach to this. One of the posts that I will be updating with a link to this post is "The Black and Green," you might want to read that. I have nailed down more on how much Irish Northern Aid, SF's support group in America (not counting Friends of SF and groups that are significantly less officially in support) has been focusing on Irish-America. I looked closer at their web-site and I-As get a lot of mentions, didn't notice any talk about people of color, LGBT, the Left; nothing about advocates of social justice, advocates of economic justice, opponents of imperialism (that is, in general, without adding the word "British"). There used to be a links page in the 1990s which included two links to American Indian sites and one to a site called "Radical History And Politics." There seems to be no links page on the national site, thus no links to such sites. I've also surveyed the sites of local units of INA and found nothing to change my mind about this problem, the focus on Irish-America.

Irish-Americans are about 12% of the population (UPDATE 5/05/09 I have left out Scotch-Irish, who are another 1.5%, but that barely affects what I'm saying). Some people might think that if they keep up with focusing on this, they'll get such a large chunk of Irish-America that it'll make up for that. That won't happen. Irish-Americans are roughly as political as the average American. Many/most of those counted do not identify as Irish-American strongly. Also, many Irish-Americans who are progressive or leftist, and probably many who are liberal, have bought into the exaggerated estimates many have of how conservative and/or bigoted the average American interested in N. Ireland from a republican and/or nationalist and/or human rights perspective is.

The remaining 88% of the population is unlikely to be motivated to care about this simply by talking constantly about Irish-America. Some, probably a small minority of those interested, might even feel unwelcome, especially people of color. But the more political and liberal/progressive/left people will be motivated if you talk about social justice, economic justice, and imperialism (in a way that clearly places the struggle in the context of a global reballion which has included in recent decades the Palestinians, East Timor, Apartheid S. Africa, and Chiapas). Although it's kind of stupid for liberal-left people to think that all Americans interested in this are white and it's very stupid of them to then abandon the nationalist community based on that, it would help if SF and their American allies would reach out to people of color more- even if the response were only a small increase in the diversity of the political community we're talking about, reaching out more (it happens some, but not much) would erode the idea that it's just for white people.

(my estimate, based on my activism in Boulder, CO; some stuff in Denver, CO and elsewhere; and giving a little weight to the Internet, is that a very large majority of that political community (people interested from a republican and/or nationalist and/or human right perspective) is I-A, a tiny minority is white but not I-A (probably about 1/5 of that part is Jewish) and a tiny minority are people of color) (that's probably roughly the same if you look at SF supporters, although the % that is non-I-A would probably be a little higher and the I-A part smaller)

The thing is, taking a more progressive approach will probably only result in a small number of the to-the-right-of-center I-As with-holding support from SF, as SF is the largest party in the nationalist community (for many, the fact that SF still enjoys a relationship with the IRA is also relevant) and they support the Peace Process and most will hold their nose and continue to support SF. Those that leave SF will probably still do some stuff to support the nationalist community on human rights and equality stuff and call for British withdrawal and might support some other group- possibly the Social Democratic and Labour Party, which is actually to the right of SF, or some new grouping, possibly a splinter from SF that doesn't support the more progressive approach. So, although SF will lose some support, they'll gain probably even more from elsewhere and the cause in general won't lose hardly any support.

I'd estimate that about 20% (I found a survey indicating that around of 20% of Americans write letters to the editor) of teen and adult Irish-Americans are part of that community (those who are interested in NI from a republican/nationalist/human rights perspective) (not just SF supporters, who are probably only something like 2/5 of that community) (I'm including people who do nothing more than signing a petition or going to an event once a year and people who don't do that but would if given the opportunity and write letters to the media or politicians instead). That might be a little high, but I get the impression that in recent decades on average, voter turn-out among I-As has been something like 65% in recent years, plus there's probably another 5% of adults not voting but still interested in politics (anarchists, certain types of socialists, felons), so assuming that almost 1/3 of these at least slightly political I-As are interested enough to be counted seems pretty reasonable and more or less matches my experience. So, that's 20% of 12%, which is about 2% (of the 13+ the general population). Looking at the remaining 88% (all of this is about teens and adults), I'll assume that the percentage who are at least slightly political is the same (70%), although I wouldn't be surprised if it's a little higher. Almost half would be liberal-left (adjusting for the fact that the mostly centrist/to-the-right-of-center Irish-Americans are not being counted and the fact I'm not counting the centrists and Clintonites and libertarians who would be less likely to respond positively to this approach than most liberal and almost all progressives and leftists), so that would be about 30%. Probably something like 1/4 are potential or current (overwhelmingly potential) members of that community. That would be about 7% (of the 13+ the general population).

(when I say "political" I mean at least slightly political, and the lower figures (7% and 20% instead of 70%) is partly based on the fact that lots of people who vote do nothing else political at all)

So, the nationalist/republican/human rights cause could have 9% instead of 2% (obviously these figures are not super solid and might be high but they're probably accurate and the gap of about five times is almost certain to be accurate). As far as SF's support, if SF were approaching this the way I'm suggesting, they would probably get almost all of the increase and only lose a tiny amount of their current support.

Some SF members/supporters will say that a more progressive approach will alienate people to the right of center. As I explained, the I-A ones will almost universally stick around for the cause and probably most that are SF supporters will stick with SF. But what about the non-I-A ones who will be scared off and won't stick around for "Old Ireland?" WHAT non-I-A ones? As far as I can tell, very few of them are interested in this from the right perspective. For one thing they don't have their family tree compensating for their knowledge that the IRA tried to kill their hero Margaret Thatcher and the occasional talk about the IRA being commie scum (most of them ARE "commie scum" : )), and they probably read too much into the name of the Social Democratic and Labour Party and are turned off- I mean, apparently the entire nationalist community is to the left of center (only some very large majority are) (non-I-A people to the right of center are more likely to be influenced by talk of SF being left-wing than anyone else). Some will suggest that they can be won over, but this ignores the fact that to the right of center you don't find much support for anti-imperialist efforts. Members of the GOP were more likely to support the Apartheid regime than the ANC; to the right of center, something like 95% of people who support the Palestinians are anti-semites and/or Arab- and/or Muslim-Americans. Some will say, "but what about the Nicaraguan Contras and the Afghan resistance to the Soviets?" I wouldn't be expecting them to make a movie called "Peter King's War" (Peter King is the most prominent GOPer to support republicanism). Even if left-winger Ken Livingstone becomes Prime Minister of the UK, there's at least two reasons (which work in combination) why the right won't support the republican and/or nationalist and/or human rights cause. First, few people to the right of center will become more than slightly hostile to the country that has been America's most important ally in the world for about 70 years. Second, there's too much information out there indicating that the political center of the republican family and to a lesser degree that of the nationalist community is center-left. I realize that's not well known in America, and there's some information going the other way, but there's enough information indicating center-left to greatly undermine any effort to describe the IRA as Irish Contras. As far as human rights, in general these people are inclined to dismiss talk of human rights unless it is solidly associated with an official enemy of the U.S. which they perceive to be left-wing or which they have some bigotry against.

So, there will be very few non-I-A people to the right of center who are anywhere near likely to get involved. SF should stop worrying about keeping on board the I-A ones when there is so much room for growth on the left.

(I've been neglecting the Clintonites and others who are neither liberal/progressive/left nor to the right of center, but most of what I've said about people to the right of center more or less (in some ways, definitely less) applies to those people as well)

Another aspect of this is that, even if SF continues to downplay the economics, if they get closer to 100% in terms of talking about social justice and anti-imperialism, odds are more and more people will learn that SF is much closer to socialist than capitalist. When that happens, SF might see some of their bigger donors walk away, and even if the economy turns around, that loss might not be made up for by a larger number of smaller donations. I imagine SF would be worried about their ability to conduct elections without the money that would be lost. But if they successfully mobilize a much larger number of Americans to put pressure on the British government and unionist politicians (directly or via the US government), the Nationalist community and a lot of people in the South would probably reward them with votes. And as far as the influence that Americans with money have on the US government, SF might be exaggerating how much America is one-dollar-one-vote instead of one-person-one-vote. Going from 2% to 9% in terms of people should more than compensate for the loss of support from CEOs. There's also some rich people who, adjusting for everything, will find SF more attractive in terms of the anti-racism and gay rights.

Which raises two good and very important examples of how SF needs to change it's approach. The first is the NY City St. Patrick's Day Parade. I'm tempted to give a summary, but I'll instead just point you to the post "Invisible Comrades" (reading the whole thing is a good idea, but the most relevant part is about half-way through where I start talking about the parade).

There's a similar thing with racism, although it's probably safe to say that SF stick to their anti-racist guns while in America more so than their anti-homophobic ones. The thing is a significant part of SF's support network in America is the Ancient Order of Hibernians, a fraternal, male, Irish-Catholic organization. Irish Northern Aid frequently works closely with them. The thing is, it seems accurate to call this organization slightly-significantly racist. That's based on the following, plus one huge thing I'll save for last.

1. Statements by credible sources, including Eamonn McCann.
2. If we accept that the different degrees of racism are overwhelmingly found to the right of center (you have to give extra weight to the white supremacists to say overwhelmingly, but that makes sense), and AOH's political center is center-right (in all fairness I wouldn't be surprised if something like half are friendly to labor, but they're not socialists, and that's only one issue, and only half), it raises a red flag that they have this idea of having an organization which people of color can't join.
3. I feel safe assuming that they support the McBride Principles (they do) in the North but not Affirmative Action in America (odds are they don't), and on discrimination the situation facing people of color in America and that facing Catholics in the North has been roughly the same in recent decades.

On the other hand, I knew an AOHer who was married to American Indian woman and who, as a grad student, was working for one of America's top scholars in American Indian studies, Vine Deloria Jr. I'd say, there's probably some very large minority of the AOH that is racist, the next very large minority would probably be more accurately called non-racist, and probably some very small minority have pretty good anti-racist credentials.

Going back to evidence of racism, there's one big thing. The AOH, as they should, feel strongly that Orange Order marches through Catholic areas of the North should not happen, so strongly that many/all of them more or less support rioting as an appropriate response (it more or less is) (in the last few years they may have changed their opinion about the rioting as the situation has improved fro nationalists). Contrast that with the attitude of Bill Fetherston, Colorado State President of the AOH who marched in the 2003 Denver, CO Columbus Day Parade and defended the parade and attacked the group protesting it- a group which also makes an effort to stop the parade by blocking it's route. The last 9 years (00-08) the protests have been something like 99-100% non-violent. That's not really the case with nationalists in the North- one night, this young boy asked me if I was "up for a riot?" But that response to a parade similar to the Columbus one doesn't seem to bother the AOH as much as the non-violent opposition of people in Denver does (can you imagine what they would say if the Denver protesters did riot?). There are two things that make this even worse:

1. What the Columbus Day Parade stands for is significantly or much worse than what the Orange marches stand for. Info on the latter is here, and here, and roughly the middle 1/5 of this (not all of that post is directly relevant to this issue, but about half of it is and the rest is relevant to this post). Info on the former is available here, and here (lots of links to good sources). American Indians experience very high levels of poverty (lowest per capita income among racial groups in America) and unemployment (50-90%) , per Wikipedia, which is in line with what I've read from better sources in the past 10 years (UPDATE 8/4/11 Apparently the figures I found on Wikipedia are a bit off- the % of American Indians who were EMPLOYED in the first half of 2007 was 58.3% according to the Economic Policy Institute). As far as I can tell, from 1968 to 2007, American Indians have had it something like two times as bad as Northern Catholics have had it during that time (that's based on a sort of scientific comparison I made involving all people of color, and then making a lazy adjustment for the fact that American Indians seem to have had it worse during that time than all other people of color; the figure of two is probably fairly accurate). And according to Ward Churchill in "From A Native Son: Selected Essays On Indigenism 1985-1995" the population of American Indians inside the current boundaries of the United States in 1890 might have been as low as around 2% of what it was in 1492. With the Famine in Ireland, at the worst the population of Ireland was, at the end, around 70% of what it had been at the beginning. Depending on what you adjust for, that's either nowhere near as bad or roughly no worse than the experience that American Indians had the first 400 years of "contact" with Europeans. Than there's the genocide of the Tainos that Columbus was overwhelmingly directly responsible for, as described in the first Columbus day link just above.

Overall, the Columbus Day parade stands for something significantly or much worse than what the Orange Order parade stands for.

2. There's been a fair amount of support for Irish republicanism among the leaders of those protesting the parade.
A: Glenn Morris, the main leader of the protests, spoke at an event I organized with Students for Justice in N. Ireland in 1998.
B: Ward Churchill, another senior figure associated with the protests, has expressed support for the IRA.


(In 2000 I was arrested for blocking the parade with about 141 other protesters)

I bring this up because if SF is to alter their approach, their close relationship with the AOH might make it difficult to attract people of color and anti-racists. I'm not sure exactly what I would advise them to do, probably telling the AOH to fuck off isn't an option. Maybe SF' could indicate that they are different from the AOH by expressing support for the protests of the Columbus Day parade (considering the similarity with Orange parades, it would be appropriate, especially considering what I wrote about some of those centrally involved in the protests). There might be other things on an anti-racist theme that would be appropriate for SF to do to distinguish themselves from the AOH to increase the odds of them attracting people of color and anti-racists (that is, beyond the small amount of work they've already done on that).

I'd say something similar about the NY City St. Patrick's Day parade and also acknowledging that the IRA were wrong to accept aid from Nazi Germany, something I discuss in the January 2009 post "Fuck Fascism Before It Fucks You."

Briefly, this shift in approach will in different ways have an effect on the political opinions of a segment of Irish-Americans, over time, and especially on future generations who will be receiving a much better political signal than is the case now. That will be the case, crucially, with regards to homophobia (reaching out and the NY City St. Patrick's Day Parades), and racism (reaching out and the Columbus Day parade). Something similar will happen with fascism and anti-semitism (accepting aid from Nazi Germany), possibly sexism (obviously women are already involved, but more could be done to involve organizations and more individuals that are explicitly feminist) and possibly other issues if they become relevant (I decide on a case-by-case basis which ones I believe are, but here are some that I will probably NEVER consider relevant- abortion, taxes, regulation, military spending).

This shift will, at least temporarily until the GOP adjusts (for example, on homophobia) result in some people not voting for the GOP when they normally would. Considering it's history and it's admiration for Thatcher and informal relationship with the British Conservatives, the GOP is not as good on the North as the Dems are. Bush was very harsh on SF over policing and decommissioning, and his Immigration people had Bernadette Devlin-McAliskey deported. Reagan was best buddies with Thatcher. On the other hand, Clinton, as disapointing as he was on this and everything else, was the first one to allow Gerry Adams into the US after about 10 years of excluding the leader of a party representing something like 60% of the poorest, most oppressed half of the Nationalist community.

A few notes:

1) Although I have firmed up my understanding of the focus on Irish-America, it's possible that to some degree in the last four years things have improved (compared to the period 1997-2005 when I was very familiar with this and there was definitely a problem) as far as how SF and their allies are trying to drum up support. In which case this is to encourage them to not go back and to instead go further.

2) Some people, most outside that political community, possibly some on it's fringes and possibly some well inside, will say it doesn't matter at this point. This would have been better 10-20-30-40 years ago, but getting Americans to work on this is still needed today. There are still human rights and equality issues there involving sectarianism, Nationalists wouldn't complain if London were persuaded to start the process of ending partition sooner instead of waiting for a majority in a referendum, more pressure starting now will make it less likely that the British will refuse to leave when they're supposed to, more pressure will get the British to be honest about what happened to the Nationalist population (and their role in it) (which will erode sectarianism among Protestants), etc.

3) As I've described elsewhere there are things that are beyond SF's control that are about 2/3 of the explanation for why progressives and the left in America didn't do what they should have done on N. Ireland in recent decades. Those might still be there, although there are some things that might have eroded them in recent years. The candidacy of Catholic John Kerry, and the fact that our current Vice President is a Catholic liberal Democrat, might have had some effect on anti-Catholicism among progressives and on the Left. It's possible that Obama having a good relationship with things Irish (he's part himself, he declared March Irish-American Heritage Month, and so far he seems to have a good attitude on N. Ireland in general and SF specifically) will erode the idea that there's a whiff of racism about this issue. Also, Stephen Colbert is a Catholic and that might also erode hostility towards Catholics among liberals, progressives, and leftists.

On the other hand, the remaining 1/3 of why progressives and the left didn't do what they should have done is mostly made up of SF's approach, and that of it's allies, to generating support in America. So, bearing in mind what I wrote above about the changed situation (Kerry, Biden, Obama, Colbert), if SF changes it's approach (and as I explained, they will need to back up their words with actions like doing the right things on the NY City St. Patrick's Day parades) the progressives and the leftists will probably respond.


UPDATE 10/4/11 SF members and many of their American supporters will say that factors affecting the liberals, progressives, and leftists mean that such an effort will simply alienate the Irish-American moderates and conservatives without attracting anyone. I believe that what would happen would be that the first efforts by the mostly I-A groups supporting SF will attract some of the former group, those who don't need much convincing. That will result in the left of SF supporters being more visible than they are now. THAT, in different ways, will attract MORE of the former group, and that change in the membership of SF support groups will have a similar effect on many of the remaining sceptical liberals/progressives/leftists. This will be repeated probably several times, as the republican/nationalist/human rights efforts become more and more attractive to those members of the broad left who have resisted being won over to this cause. (I should also make clear that, for the foreseeable future, I don't expect the liberals, leftists, and progressives to do much on the issue at all, and of course I would welcome the large number who who spend not their organizing time on this issue, but will help in other ways (attending events, wearing shirts, signing petitions, etc.))

Also, if SF visibly takes this approach in America, that will have an effect on liberal/progressive/left forces in other countries and those people will be more likely to do stuff.

UPDATE 10/13/10 One last benefit of SF adopting the approach I've suggested is that it will lessen the attacks on SF from the Irish Left. At some point in the late 1990s Joe Higgins (who was elected as a Member of the European Parliament in 2009) of the Socialist Party said that SF is left-wing in the South, right-wing in America, and in-between in the North.

So, if SF and it's allies change their approach to America, they and their cause will benefit greatly in many ways.

(Although I am not very familiar with what's going on right now with SF and America, I know, as I explain in the post "The Black and Green" that there was a serious problem 10 years ago which I think has gotten worse (I did a lot of activism on this 1997-2004); more recently I have looked at much of the content of the links pages of Irish Northern Aid web-sites (and some other pages of those sites) and was disapointed by what I found. I also know two senior American leftsts, one very senior, who are SF supporters, have recently given me the impression that there is still a problem. Lastly, if there wasn't a problem anymore, I have been reading a fair amount of liberal-progressive media recently, and the change would have been reflected there, and it hasn't)

(one new note on the current situation. There's a report on the SF web-site about the second of two conferences that were held to discuss how to advance the United Ireland agenda. It indicates that a strong focus on Irish-America remains, although there is vague talk of "community organizations" and one conference participant talked about the need to reach out to other ethnic groups) (I also read a recent article by a senior member of Irish Northern Aid talking about generating support for SF's agenda in America and overall it didn't change my opinion about this problem)

UPDATE 2/2/15 More on the race aspect of this issue here.

UPDATE 6/22/16 One last note (at some point I might re-do this post and better integrate all the notes and updates). The African National Congress embraced the American progressive community (sort of the left but a lot more than that) and THEY WON. I'd say the goal of a united Ireland is comparable to the goal of dismantling Apratheid- I'm not saying that REFORMING the North isn't a good thing and as a result of the peace process, to a small degree N. Ireland has been transformed- to a small degree. But the main goal was unity with the South, and that hasn't happened. Maybe SF should learn something from the ANC. Also, the ANC didn't embrace the black community here like SF embraces the (99% white) Irish-American community (and if they did it would be less offensive than what SF is doing)

UPDATE 5/12/17 I AM going to clean up this post and integrate these updates into the correct paragraphs, etc. but for now I'll just do this as an update. In Jan. or early Feb 2003 my independent CU-Boulder student group Students for Justice in N. Ireland organized an event to mark the anniversary of Bloody Sunday. We showed a movie about the conflict and myself and a (locally) fairly well-known progressive activist named Steve Nash both talked for about 15 min. each and then we had a discussion. There was supposed to be a third speaker. Ward Churchill has expressed some interest in N. Ireland and is very familiar with struggles for national self-determination and agreed to speak when I asked him. He didn't show. For some reason I didn't remind him before the event and I didn't ask afterwards what happened, but his name was on the publicity materials.  There were probably about 50-75 people in the audience, and normally at events with a similar publicity budget we had an average of about 25-30 people in the audience.

And one more update for 5/12/17. When SF focuses on making moderate appeals to Irish-America, they turn off a lot of the most left-wing 1/3 of that community. One guy responded to me raising the subject by saying he was sick of rich and racist Irish-Americans.

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Joint Sovreignty Assembly

This is a slightly edited version of something I typed up in 2005 and showed to a small number of people. Before, as, or after you read this, you might want to read "Catholic Protestant and Dissenter."

Below is a proposal for a solution to the Northern Ireland conflict which will result in a United Ireland in such a way that a Unionist backlash is unlikely. It is also based on the idea that the way the GFA institutionalizes sectarian identities is very unhelpful and inhibits the development of normal politics in the North even more than is already the case with partition. Members of the Assembly have to identify as Nationalist, Unionist or Other, and on crucial votes regarding power-sharing, there has to be a majority of both Nationalists and Unionists (or 60% overall and at least 40% of each side). In general, this probably does institutionalize sectarian divisons, although it t does prevent a Unionist-only government and it makes it unlikely SF will be excluded.

But there is a better way.

What follows is based on the idea of shifting sovreignty over the North towards Dublin, with the end result a guaranteed United Ireland, but the JSA part could, without changing the composition of it and without the other things that move towards a United Ireland as described below, be used to govern the North in a way that avoids institutionalizing sectarian identities.

********

I have always believed that Ireland's reunification cannot and shouldn't be done "overnight" (that is, within one year). The process should be gradual but with the end result of a United Ireland guaranteed by treaty between Dublin and London. The process should also involve a lot of neutral elements and make an effort to partly balance the over-all trend towards a United Ireland with some relatively harmless concessions to Unionists.

The Irish and British governments would sign a treaty outlining a series of three stages over 30 years that result in Dublin having full sovreignty over all 32 Counties of Ireland. The following are some suggestions as to what should be in the Treaty. ** indicates my explanation and justification of each section above those paragraphs.

Also, I'm not an expert on this stuff, so I'm leaving out a lot of technical details, and if this were adopted, I wouldn't be surprised if some things I recommend just have to be done differently.


The Treaty will establish three stages, each lasting 10 years, plus some conditions to last after the end of Stage 3 until amended by the Irish and/or British parliaments. The central element of this solution will be a Joint Sovreignty Assembly that will govern Northern Ireland.

** I think 30+ years period will be helpful. Easing unionists into a United Ireland will probably lessen the total amount of negative response by the unionists. It's kind of like how if you put a frog in water and then heat up the water gradually, the frog will not jump out of the water (and will die). When the first stage starts, I can't see there being a massive backlash, as the changes would be small. There would be 10 years for them to get used to the South having a significant input into N. Ireland government. Basically the same with the second stage, the third stage, and the Six-County assembly after stage 3.

** Although many would probably suggest that a joint sovreignty government should be based on an executive made up of appointees from Dublin and London, perhaps with some Northern Ireland dimension, I think it would make more sense and certainly be more democratic to establish an Assembly with members elected from the Republic of Ireland, Northern Ireland, and Great Britain, from which a cabinet would be formed and to which the cabinet would be accountable. An executive made up of Dublin and London appointees which completely excludes NI politicians obviously would not work. If NI politicians were to be included at the discretion of London and Dublin, that would make them accountable to London and Dublin, not any constituencies in NI. Even if NI politicians in the executive were drawn from a NI Assembly, the British and Irish Cabinet members would still be accountable to London and Dublin. A Joint Sovreignty Assembly as I'm proposing it would mean a unified Cabinet drawn from and accountable to the same Assembly so there would be a lot more consistency and coherency in government policy (there would probably be less shuffling of cabinet members), and Assembly members, especially those elected from NI, would be accountable to voters. This would, temporarily, result in more election boundaries being drawn and more elections being organized, but it would be worth it if it lasts only thirty years and results in a resolution of the conflict in NI.

** Some republicans and nationalists might complain about people elected from Britain being in the Assembly, but I have gotten the impression that they feel good about joint sovreignty of the normal sort as a step towards a United Ireland, and that would involve people from Britain.

At every stage, representation in the Assembly will be weighted towards NI, and to a lesser degree, the Republic. There will be no designation of members as Unionist, Nationalist, or Other, nor any requirements on cross-community support for an executive or anything else.

** There is almost no chance that a unionist majority could exclude nationalists from the executive and return to the old days of Stormont. The only way that could happen is if, in the first stage, the British Conservatives got more than 30 seats out of 50 in Britain, and that's unlikely. Very few of the parties that would be in the Joint Sovreignty Assembly would tolerate even the exclusion of SF, although it's slightly possible SF might end up in the opposition anyway, but that would probably not be as bad as it would be under the current situation, where an Executive without SF would have a very large Unionist majority.

Stage One- Years 1-10

The JSA will be made up of 50 members elected from NI, 50 members elected from GB, and 10 members elected from The Republic. There's no reason why the elections in NI and The Republic couldn't be based on Proportional Representation with Single Transferable Vote, but it would probably be acceptable if the election in GB were conducted on a First-Past-the-Post basis. It will function on a parliamentary basis and elections will be held at least once every 5 years. Powersharing across sectarian lines would not be required, coalition governments would be formed the same way they are in Dublin, London, and elsewhere.

** The voluntary nature of coalition governments would faciliate the development of normal politics.

** Someone wrote a piece about joint sovreignty here. It's a good idea and I'm open-minded about a NI-only Assembly instead of what I propose in this post, although I'm not sure how it'll work if either London or Dublin don't give laws passed by the Assembly legal effect.

The JSA Treasury will pay for everything except UN-affiliated operations, and will get 45% of it's revenue from NI taxes, 10% from Dublin, and 45% from London. Initially all laws which had been applied from London to NI would continue but could be repealed or altered by the JSA. Laws and policies adopted by the JSA need not be in line with British laws, but the ultimate authority of the British constitution and House of Lords (or a Supreme Court) would continue.

The electoral quota for Westminster seats in NI would be doubled, while NI would elect members to the Dail with an electoral quota three times what it is in the rest of Ireland.

** This sounds kind of messy, as it will be altered two more times, but if the experts think it works, it should be done, although the important part is the joint sovreignty and the shifting of sovreignty to Dublin.

The British Army in NI will not exceed 10,000 and will be confined to barracks except in certain circumstances. A UN Peace-Keeping force (excluding British and Irish forces) of about 20,000 would be established. All UN forces will be under the command of a General (who is neither Irish nor British) approved by the Treaty Commission (whose members will be agreed by the Irish and British governments, and once appointed can not be forced to resign). The commander will be accountable on a day-to-day basis to a Defense Committee made up of the JSA Home Affairs Minister, a senior figure from the British MOD and one from the Irish MOD. The British Army can be deployed on the word of the UN Commander, but within twelve hours it must be approved by all 3 members of the Defense Committee and must be approved every 12 hrs. after that.

** SF and probably all other republicans do not like the idea of UN Peace-keepers in the North. Here's why I include that anyway. Even if this is done the right way, there will be a Unionist/Loyalist backlash, and the local police might not be up to it. On the other hand, using the British Army is unnatractive because A) we don't want them on the streets of the North, considering their history, and B) we can't be certain they'll consistently go after the loyalist paramilitaries, given their history. On the other hand, compared to UN Peace-Keepers, the Irish Army might just piss of the Unionists a little bit more- not because the IA would be brutal with civilians, they probably wouldn't, but because, until the Unionists have been eased into a United Ireland and realize that they have nothing to fear, they will likely react worse to the IA than to the UN.

The PSNI would, based on criteria drawn up by a Policing and Cease-Fire Commission (whose membership will be agreed by the British and Irish governments), purge itself of officers who are sectarian and/or have colluded with Loyalist paramilitaries. The vacated positions will be temporarily filled by officers organized by the UN (but excluding British and Irish Officers). Plastic bullets (and rubber bullets) would be banned (neither the police, Army, nor UN forces may use them). A Chief Constable would be appointed by the JSA Home Affairs Minister, and the CC would continue to be accountable to the Policing Board and District Policing Boards. Police will be unarmed but may be accompanied by UN Peace-Keepers when neccessary.

** UN forces would very liklely be made up of military units trained to use force only when absolutely neccessary, and their rules of engagement would reflect this, meaning that shooting unarmed civilians would be a lot less likely. While some Unionists/Loyalists might be hostile towards them as enforcers of the Treaty, they would probably be a lot less hostile to UN forces than they would be to the Irish Army. Nationalists and Republicans, because the Treaty is a victorty for them and because they largely support the UN, would probably be very unlikely to come into conflict with the Peace-Keepers. It is concieveable that, especially during the Marching Season, sometimes the UN forces might be briefly overwhelmed in specific geographic areas. In such cases it would make sense to briefly deploy the British Army rather than see rioting or paramilitary attacks. Ideally the officials involved would be smart enough to deploy the BA only in loyalist-only disturbances (or maybe that should be in the Treaty itself), to avoid the possibility of a return to republican-BA conflict.

** A purge of those PSNI officers who are sectarian and/or have colluded with loyalist paramilitaries will greatly increase the number of Nationalists willing to join the police, but in the meantime filling vacancies with officers organized by the UN would help maintain the PSNI's operational abilities and at the same time develop a human rights culture in the force. The continuation of plastic bullets would be unacceptable, whoever they might be used against. Considering police in the Republic and most police in GB are unarmed, disarming the PSNI is not unreasonable and would lessen the liklihood that the police would provoke violence as they have before. On the other hand, there would be many neighborhoods, both Loyalist and Republican, where unarmed police would be at risk, so it would make sense for them to be accompanied by armed UN Peace-Keepers. (I'm not sure if I'm wedded to the idea of unarmed police in the early part of this process)

** On purging the police, the more time that goes by, the likely that is to be neccessary if trends on Catholics joining the police continue- the more Catholics, the more the sectarians will leave.

Parades would continue to be determined by the Parades Commission, whose members will be agreed by the Irish and British governments. Security for controverisal parades will be provided only by UN Peace-Keepers.

The Republic would re-join the British Commonwealth.

** Although I'm not familiar with the Commonwealth, it seems like it has no real power over members, and requires few committments from it's members, so it really doesn't place the 26-Counties back under British rule at all, but being in the Commonwealth might have some special meaning for a lot of Unionists so this might make the transition to a United Ireland easier.

The Treaty Commission will consider any ambiguities in the Treaty and make any adjustments such as extending the time period for a Stage or an aspect of a Stage. It will also have responsibility for approving the Commander of UN forces. It's 7 members will be agreed by the Irish and British governments, should be composed of international affairs experts, former senior politicians from across the world, and include only one person from the Republic, one from GB, and one from NI. It's decisions can be vetoed by either a 75% vote of the JSA, or a majority of both Westminster and the Dail.

** I'm sure that even with a Treaty drafted by experienced people there will be at least some ambiguities and there will be some need for minor adjustments. Such changes should be made by people with at least no direct interest in Northern Ireland politcs (although the total exclusion of Irish, British, and Northern Irish people would be a mistake) but who have experience in international affairs. This way they're decisions will probably be accepted by most as being fair. If such a body has some degree of control over the peace-keeping forces, that will probably result in them being accepted more than they normally would. On the other hand, it would be somewhat undemocratic to have their decisions be completely final, so the three representative bodies should have veto power.

The Policing and Cease-Fire Commission's members will be agreed by the Irish and British governments. They should be people from across the globe with experience in human rights, criminal justice, conflict resolution and related fields and it's 7 members should include only one person from the Republic, one from GB, and one from NI. It's first job will be to establish criteria by which the JSA Home Affairs Minister will dismiss those Police Officers who are sectarian and/or have colluded with Loyalists. After that, the Commission will be charged with determining which organizations are on cease-fire. Towards the end of Stage Two they will help determine the relation between the Six-County Gardai, Dublin, the JSA Home Affairs Ministry, and the Policing Boards that will be used in Stage Three.

** Creating objective criteria for purging the police will probably be tricky and should be done by a group that can be seen as detached from the conflict so that the criteria will be seen as fair. And while determining the status of paramilitary cease-fires will be incredibly important, it is equally important that such determinations be and be seen as fair and objective. The details of integrating the PSNI into the Gardai while maintaining the power of the Policing Boards will need to be done by experts in such fields as policing.

A Truth and Reconciliation Commission will be established, it's members agreed by the Irish and British governments. They should be people from across the globe with experience in human rights, criminal law, conflict resolution and related fields and their 7 members should include only one person from the Republic, one from GB, and one from NI. They will review every incident since 1966 chronologically and make decisions on amnesty for those who have not been sentenced or haven't completed their original sentence.

Paramilitary organizations that are on cease-fire but are believed to still have weapons and explosives will be targets of searches for weapons and explosives. Anyone arrested in connection to such searches whose only crime is possession of weapons and explosives and membership of an illegal organization will be quickly released without charge. Organizations that are not on cease-fire will be subject to both searches, arrests and charges. Those who have been charged with paramiltary-related offenses will be given political status whether jailed in NI, The Republic, or GB.

** It is very likely that large chunks of the loyalist paramilitaries, and probably a very small number of dissident republicans, will engage in armed actions. It'll be neccessary to deal with those organizations, but arresting members of organizations that are on cease-fire would almost certainly just push them into ending their cease-fires, so it would make sense to create some kind of legal mechanism so that arms and explosives can be seized from cease-fire groups without having to detain their members for more than a day. POW status should also be given to members of paramilitary groups in jail- to do otherwise would invite more resistance.

STAGE TWO Years 11-20

At the beginning of this Stage (or between years 9 and 12 as decided by the Treaty Commission) representation in the Assembly will be changed to the following: 50 from NI, 30 from GB, and 30 from the Republic. Correspondingly the financial contributions will be changed to 44% from NI taxes, 28% from the Irish government, and 28% from the British government. NI representation in Westminster will be at three times the normal electoral quota, and NI representation in the Dail will be at twice the normal electoral quota.

** It makes sense to gradually shift representation to the Irish Republic and away from the UK.

The Irish Constitution and Supreme Court would replace their British equivelants, but laws and policies adopted by the JSA wouldn't have to be in line with Irish laws.

The British Army would be withdrawn from NI, their barracks occupied by Irish Army units. However, the IA would be confined to barracks in the same way the BA units were. All other security arrangements would remain the same as they had been in Stage One.

** Again, these measures would gradually shift NI towards integration with the Republic. The confinement to barracks of Irish troops would lessen the negative reaction of loyalists.

At this point Loyal Order marches will be allowed anywhere they want to go, provided the security for such marches is exclusively UN Peace-Keepers. The Parades Commision will still regulate some aspects of parades in NI.

** This is based partly on the fact that at least one Orange Order parade takes place every year in the Republic with little security, and without incident. As NI moves towards integration with the Republic, Loyal Order parades should be more acceptable to nationalist residents. And such a move would lessen unionist opposition to being eased into a United Ireland.

** In general, I stand by this, but it might be better saved for Stage Three, unless dramatic progress has been made on equality for Catholics- for example, how many years has it been since Catholics were significantly more likely to be unemployed than Protestants, how many sectarian murders of Catholics have taken place, etc. This is something that should be dealt with by the Treaty Commission.

STAGE THREE Years 21-30

At the begginning of this Stage (or between years 19 and 22 as decided by the Treaty Commission) representation in the Assembly will be changed to the following: 50 from NI, 10 from GB, and 50 from the Republic. Correspondingly the financial contributions will be changed to 45% from NI taxes, 45% from the Irish government, and 10% from the British government. NI representation at Westminster will end, NI will be fully represented in the Dail.

** I'm not quite sure what I was thinking with completely ending representation at Westminster, although it largely makes sense, maybe this should be tweaked so that there's still something like 1-3 MPs.

The Irish Army will replace the UN military forces who will be withdrawn from NI. A Six-County Irish Army commander must be approved by the Treaty Commission and on a day-to-day basis will answer to a Defense Committe made up of a representative from the British MOD, JSA Home Affairs Minister, and a representative from the UN Secretary-General. Police provided by the UN will be replaced by Gardai. The PSNI will be integrated into the Gardai and the Chief Constable will be appointed from Dublin but will still be answerable to the Policing Boards.

** Twenty years should be enough time to significantly reduce tensions and the paramilitary presence so that there will be little or no military presence needed on the streets; and whatever presence is needed should be provided by the Irish Army at this point, although they would still have some supervison from Britain, the UN, and the JSA Home Affairs Minister (who would, to some degree, be answerable to Unionists in the Assembly). By that time the PSNI should be fairly representative of the communities it polices (there should be a large Catholic element of the force) and there should also be a strong human rights culture in the force, so UN officers won't be needed. And it will be time for the PSNI to be almost completely integrated into the Gardai, with the Policing Boards as a local check.

POST STAGE THREE

The Six-County area will now be under the complete sovreignty of the Dublin State. The JSA will be dissolved. A Six-County Assembly with limted devolved powers determined by the Dail will be established and will last for at least 10 years. The Assembly will function as any other such body, without a requirement for members to designate as Unionist, Nationalist, or Other, or a requirement of cross-community support for an Executive.

** Although unionists really don't have anything to be concerned about, the fact is that even after 30 years there will still be some anxiety for them as they are finally cut off from the UK. A Six-County Assembly with at least limited autonomy will make this easier, as they will probably still have a small majority in the Six-Counties.

** Even without a power-sharing requirement (which it shouldn't have) there's no way this will result in a return to Stormont (the sectarian, Unionist-dominated government that existed from the early 20s until 1972)- even if the unionists try, the National government in Dublin will have authority to block such a move. This is also why a Six-County Assembly won't be a dilution of republican goals, as Dublin will have ultimate authority and the UK will have no formal influence at all. The idea that such an Assembly should include all nine counties of Ulster I think is a mistake. In a nine county area, unionists would probably be a small minority- certainly nowhere near as small a minority as they would be in all 32 counties, but still such a small minority that the effect of making them feel less ovrwhelmed would be negated. And I don't think there's anything wrong with acknowledging that the Six-County area is different from the rest of Ireland. And there's a good chance that "normal" politics will have taken hold there by then, especially as the main "southern" parties will almost certainly be organizing there (actually, at this point, all but one of them are).

** At this point, even in a Six-County Assembly, the odds of a return to the old days of Orange rule are very low. Even if the Executive is solidly Unionist, A) Unionism will probably have changed enough that they will not try to impose Orange rule on the Six-County area and B) if they do head in that direction, the Government in Dublin will have various means to check them. With that in mind, it is important that "normal" left-right, Labour-Tory politics develop which will focus on things like social and economic justice and encourage people to focus less on their national and religious identities and more as workers (or socialists, or middle-class, or whatever).

British pass-ports will remain available to anyone in the Six-County area and the Common Travel area between Ireland and the UK will remain, although they can both be ended by Westminster and/or the Dail.

** This will simply contribute a bit to making unionists feel comfortable asserting some kind of new British-Irish identity.

UPDATE 8/16/15 Very shortly after the end of Stage 3 a constitutional convention will be held for all of Ireland, organized by the international community.

**At some point in the past for at least a year or two and probably a decade or two, Sinn Fein called for a constitutional convention to be part of a future unification of Ireland. I think it’s a great idea that should be revived as it would probably make the northern Protestants feel like they would have a very big say in what kind of Ireland they’re being added to (and they’d be right- they’d be on the same level as everyone else).


(I always knew that with two aspects of this (possibly others, I haven't read it in a while, but for now I'm gonna go with two) I was aiming for the extremes. 30 years is at the upper end of how long this process should last. It might make more sense to aim for 5 years instead of 10 for each phase, with some flexibility as described above. The other area is security force levels, but letting the BA stay around during the first phase makes sense in terms of making the process easier on the Unionists, and having the IA move in before the UN leaves more or less makes sense)